The Eastside & Seattle, decoded.
Eight markets, one clear read. Median prices, NWMLS buyer-demand momentum, macro context, and the zoning shifts quietly reshaping value — for buyers and sellers.
Your neighborhood market
Demand is climbing (+7% MoM) while prices hold — the rebalanced market favors prepared buyers, yet well-priced homes still draw offers.
The headline -11% YoY is mostly mix and rate-sensitivity at the top; demand jumped +14% MoM — real negotiating room on luxury now.
Prices off ~9% YoY, demand ticking up +7% MoM — a buyer window before the NE 85th station-area upzone reprices the area.
Flattest prices on the list and demand up +7% MoM — Redmond is where stability meets new light-rail upside.
The only area with demand up both MoM and YoY, median back under $1M — the best value-plus-momentum mix here.
Demand rose both MoM (+8.5%) and YoY (+5.8%), bucking the region — light rail is repricing Shoreline. Buy near the stations.
Demand surged +21% MoM as spring buyers returned even with YoY cooler — scarcity rebuilds competition fast on the best homes.
Demand thin (-28% YoY) but prices barely moved — scarcity protects value. Decisive buyers can negotiate; sellers should lead with condition.
Macro, rates & the world
Rates & the Fed
Mortgage rates have hovered in the mid-6s through spring 2026. The 30-year fixed sits near 6.5% and the 15-year near 5.8%. With CPI still running ~4% year over year, the Fed has held its policy rate at 3.50–3.75% rather than cutting aggressively — so buyers should plan around 'higher-for-longer' financing rather than betting on a sharp drop.
National & state market
The market is rebalancing. In King County, active inventory is up 22% year over year while the median price is off just 1.4% — so buyers finally have choice without a price crash. Pending sales are up 8.5%, and homes take a median 22 days to sell (vs. 17 a year ago). Well-priced, move-in-ready homes still move fast; overpriced or dated listings now sit and cut.
Geopolitical & supply
Global cross-currents matter locally: tariff and trade tension has kept construction-material costs elevated, slowing new supply; tech-sector hiring (Amazon, Microsoft, and the AI build-out) drives Eastside demand; and global capital still treats Seattle-area real estate as a relative safe haven. Watch for foreign-buyer and immigration-policy shifts that move the high end.